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Case Analysis of Hope-In Food Store, Incorporate
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Moshiur Rahman
I am Moshiur Rahamn. Now i am study in Daffodil International University. I am BBA student and my BBA will complete in 2010 last.  
By Moshiur Rahman
Published on 18 December 2009
 
Case Analysis of Hope-In Food Store, Incorporate. Report on to determine Hope-In Food Store Initial Share Price (IPO).

Case Analysis of Hope-In Food Store, Incorporate
Course Title: Fundamentals of Investment
Course Code: FIN-302

Report on to determine Hope-In Food Store initial share price

Submitted to:
Mostafa Monzur Hasan
Lecture
Department of Business Administration
Faculty of Business & Economics
Daffodil International University

Submitted by:
Moshiur Rahman
ID- 063-11-1467
Section-B, 15th batch
Bachelor Business Administration
Faculty of Business & Economics
Daffodil International University



August 20, 2009

Mostafa Monzur Hasan,    
lecturer
Department of Business Administration
Faculty of Business and Economics
Daffodil International University


Subject: Report on "Case Analysis of Hope-In Food Store, Incorporate."

Dear Sir,

At the threshold of submitting this report on “Case Analysis of Hope-In Food Store, Incorporate”. We are feeling immense pleasure to prepare this report as a partial requirement of Fundamentals of investment course.  We would like to mention that, we tried our best to prepare this report to our greater extent through reading, consulting, discussing among the members of our group to make it a comprehensive one. But due to the limitation of knowledge there might be some unforeseen mistake and incompleteness in our paper. We hope that you will overlook them with kind consideration that we are still learners and will give us the necessary suggestions that you always give for the improvement of our quality in future. We again express our gratitude to you to give us the opportunity of analyzing this case.

We would like to place this Paper for your evaluation & recommendations.

Thanking you.

Sincerely Yours

Moshiur Rahman
ID- 063-11-1467
Section-B, 15th Batch
Bachelor of Business and Administration


ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

As per requirements of the Bachelor of Business and Administration (BBA) program our venerable course teacher Mr. Mostafa Monzur Hasan has assigned a report in the course curriculum. Our assigned report is "Case Analysis of Hope-In Food Store, Incorporate ". We express our sincere gratitude to our honourable course teacher Mr. Mostafa Monzur Hasan lecturer of the Department of Business Administration, Daffodil International University, for his guidance, advice and assistance in preparing the assigned case. We are really grateful to our course instructor for his unstinted support, timely and sophisticated direction and finally endless morale in learning the knowledge through preparing this report. This analysis helped us a lot in understanding how to determine the appropriate offer price for the new stock. It has also enhanced our analytical and decision making ability. Finally, thanks are also due to our group members who have done their job enthusiastically and perfectly.

Origin of report

This report (Case Analysis of Hope-In Food Store, Incorporate) is assigned by our honourable course teacher Mr. Mostafa Monzur Hasan as a partial fulfilment of the course FIN-302 "Fundamentals of Investment". The report is the elaboration of determine the appropriate offer price for the new stock decision among our group members. It was a mater of group discussion and understanding. Assignment submission and presentation is the requirement for Bachelor of Business Administration (BBA) degree. We think that this case analysis will enhance our conceptual knowledge about offer share price and now we are confident enough to determine the appropriate offer price for the new stock.

Scope

The scope of this report is limited within the Hope-In Food Store, Incorporate to determine initial public offering (IPO) and the securities industry of United States. 

Objectives

1. To fulfils the partial requirement of BBA degree.
   
2. To be able to use theoretical knowledge into practically to determine the offer price for the new stock.

3. To develop our skill in using analytical tools and techniques for determine the offer price.
  
4. To develop our interpersonal views and concept through sharing among every member of the group that is reflected in this report.

Limitations

Although efforts made to make the report was as comprehensive as possible, nevertheless, the following limitations are identified at the time of preparing the report: 
    1. We worked under a limited time passage.
    2. A lot of information regarding industry, economy, and company are required.
    3. We have put our optimum effort to formulize the available information
    4. Many analytical techniques and tools are needed to apply to get appropriate result but due to our lack of practical knowledge our analysis may not be a highly efficient one.
                               
Alternative Methodology

Methods of Pricing IPO:

1. Price Earning Multiplier Method

2. Price to Book value Ratio Method

3. Dividend Discount Model

Company Background of Hope-In Food Store, Incorporate
Company Background

Hop-In Food, incorporated on June 23, 1966 started in Roanoke as a single store selling a broad line of foodstuff and convenience items.

Since 1966, sales had grown at a 55% annual rate, and by the end of 1966, the company operated 84 stores in two states.

Hop- In Food had grown primarily through the acquisition of established stores rather than by the internal expansion, of the 84 stores operating at the end of 1977, 58 had been acquired.

The company pursued this policy of growth by acquisition because experience had proven both the cost and risk of operating a new store to be generate than those of purchasing an established one.

SWOT Analysis

Strength:

a) New store site were selected on the basis of residence density the extent of street and highway access and the proximity of competing stores.
b) Financial statements had prepared according to generally Accepted Accounting Principles and annual reports had been published each fiscal year.

Weakness:

a) At the end of 1976, the company purchased the assets and for this the company used a portion of short term debt.
b)The Lack of an established dividend policy.
c)Price Hop-In food’s auditors were not one of the big firms.

Opportunity:

a) Rebalancing financial leverage position through the new issue.
b) New Issue would strengthen company’s bargaining power with lenders
c) Publicly traded stocks would be a more effective tool for use in acquisitions.

Threat:

a) Competitors with greater size, economies of scale in purchasing, and national advertising.
b)Sales of grocery and other staple items declined because the competition within the retail food industry was increased.
c)Failure to determine right stock price the company’s goodwill may damage and that affect distribution network for future new issue.

Problem Statement

Hop-In Stores, Incorporated is facing supernormal growth in sales which requires a new financing strategy. And the company is interested to go for public offering.

So, the main concern is to determine the appropriate offer price for the new stock.

Economy Analysis

General feeling about the nation’s economy was optimistic.

Forecasts suggested that interest & bond coupon rates would fall.

Declining interest rates would draw investor’s fund away from Fixed Income Security market into the Equity Security market.

Assumptions

•    Industry consists of only the mentioned companies in the case.
•    Risk free rate is 6%
•    Beta of the company is 1.5
•    Marginal Tax Rate considered
•    Company has only Common equity
•    Retention Ratio, Rate of Return and Cost of capital are fixed
•    Terminal growth rate is 4%
•    Weighted sales growth is considered
•    Gross margin and all operating expense increases as a percentage of sales revenue

Determination of Share Price of Hope-In Food Store, Incorporate

Determination of Share Price


Price Earning Multiplier Method (Approach:1):


Peer Group Average of Price/ Earning Ratio (Only for year 1976)

Company

Price/Earnings

Southland

14.50

Munford

6.00

Dillon

13.00

Sunshine Junior

6.00

National Convenience Store

7.00

Circle K

5.00

Industry Average

8.583333333

 

 

Earning Multiplier Method 

 Price/Earning Ratio

                                    8.58

 EPS of Hop-In Food Store(1976)

                                    2.26

 Price

                                  $19.40


So, under this model, the offering price is $19.40.

 

Price Earning Multiplier Method (Approach:2)

 
 

Peer Group Average of Price/Earning Ratio (Trend)

 

Price/Earning

1972

1973

1974

1975

1976

(10/29/76)

Average

Southland

25

15.5

9.5

10.5

14.5

15

Munford

14

7

4.5

4

6

7.1

Dillon

21.5

15

12

12.5

13

14.8

Sunshine Junior

24.5

11.5

5

7.5

6

10.9

National Convenience Store

22.5

10

5

6.5

7

10.2

Circle K

35

22.5

7.5

6.5

5

15.3

Industry Average 

12.21667

 

 

Average EPS of Hope-In Food Stores by considering trend data

 

Year

1972

1973

19724

1975

1976

(10/29/76)

Average

EPS of Hop-in food

0.55

1.11

1.61

1.73

3.34

1.668

 

Offer price is:

 

Earning Multiplier Method 

 Price/Earning Ratio

12.21667

 EPS of Hop-In Food Store

                                1.668

Price

                               $20.38

 

So under this model, the offering price is $20.38.


Determination of Share Price of Hope-In Food Store

Price to Book Value Ratio Method (Approach: 2)


Price to Book Value Ratio (Industry)

 

Year(1976)

Market value per share

Book value per share

Market value/Book value per share (including Hope-in)

Southland

$26.13

$14.21

$1.84

Munford

$9.38

$13.00

$0.72

Dillon

$31.63

$9.30

$3.40

Sunshine Junior

$6.00

$7.03

$0.85

National Convenience Store

$9.75

$10.87

$0.90

Circle K

$7.50

$7.95

$0.94

Hope-in food

$0.00

$10.06

$0.00

Average

$12.91

$10.35

$1.24



Price to Book Value Ratio Approach

Hope-In- Food Book Value

$10.06

Average market value/book value of industry

$1.24

Price

$12.44

 

So the required offering price under this model is $12.44.


Dividend Discount Model:


Industry Dividend & EPS

Company

Divided Rate

Average EPS

Southland

0.37

2.10

Munford

0.35

1.30

Dillon

0.96

2.50

Sunshine Junior

0.20

0.82

National Convenience Store

0.00

1.37

Circle K

0.51

1.43

Average

0.40

1.59


Average Retention rate

of the Industry:                           b=(1-Div/EPS)*100

Industry Dividend

0.40

Industry EPS

1.59

b

74.89%


  ROE of Hope-In food (1976):      ROE=Net income/Equity

Net income

280562.00

Equity

1062192.00

ROE

26.41%

 

Growth Rate of Hope-In food (G):          G=b*ROE

 

 

G

19.78%

 

Cost of Equity of Hope-in food (Ke):

 

 

Ke

22.45%

 

Constant Growth Model

(Gordon Model):                                  P=EPS*(1-b)/(K-G)

 

 

Price

$14.86

 

So under this model, the offer price is $14.86.


Determination of IPO of Hope-In Food Store

Recent Common Equity Issue

Name of Company

Offer Price

Bid Price

Madison Gas & Electric Co.

$16.38

$16.13

Tetra Tec, Inc.

$8.00

$8.25

Middle South Utilities Inc

$16.75

$16.75

Wacoal Corp

$22.63

$22.38

Loua Public Service Co.

$21.50

$21.38

Surgicot Inc.

$7.13

$6.75

Free Mont General Corp.

$14.50

$14.13

Intermountain Gas Co.

$16.75

$17.50

Omega Optical Co.

$10.00

8.7500

Grow Chemical Corp.

$10.25

$10.38

Brougham Industries Inc.

$7.50

$7.75

Makita Electric Works Ltd.

$33.88

$33.63

Contineous Curve Inc.

$10.00

$10.75

Kennametal Inc.

$25.25

$24.63

NY State Electric & Gas Corp.

$29.50

$29.13

St. Jude Medical Inc.

$3.50

$6.50

Average Market offerings

$15.84

$15.92

 

Here Average Market Offer Price is $15.84 and Bid Price $15.92.

 

Approaches

Hope-In Food Share Price

Price Earning Multiplier Approach

$20.38

Price to Book Value Ratio Approach

$12.44

Dividend Discount Model

Under Constant Growth Model

$14.86

Average market price

                                 Offer Price

                                 Bid Price

$15.84

$15.92

Price Range

$12.44 to $20.38

Our Recommendation

$15.50

 

Recommendation

 

So, considering all the techniques of stock valuation the offer price of Hope-In Food Store, Incorporated should be $15.40.

 

Justification

 

Particular

Before Position

After Restructuring

WACC

18.19%

18.39%

Value of the firm

$2,878,438

$2,931,569

 

Comments to IPO

 

Minimum acceptable share price by investment banker was $10.6 per share and Hop In Food determined that the share price would be $150.50.

 

So, Investment bank Scott and String fellow will be benefited by underwriting Hope-In Food shares. On the other side, expecting market price growth is 10% to 20%.

 

So, this is high time for share issue in the market and investment bank will be gainer by underwriting the company’s share because the company’s growth position and financing position is better.

 

 

 

Thank you