I am Moshiur Rahamn. Now i am study in Daffodil International University. I am BBA student and my BBA will complete in 2010 last. Determination of Share Price
Price Earning Multiplier Method
(Approach:1):
|
Peer Group Average of Price/ Earning
Ratio (Only for year 1976) |
|
|
Company |
Price/Earnings |
|
Southland |
14.50 |
|
Munford |
6.00 |
|
Dillon |
13.00 |
|
Sunshine Junior |
6.00 |
|
National Convenience Store |
7.00 |
|
Circle K |
5.00 |
|
Industry Average |
8.583333333 |
|
Earning Multiplier Method |
|
|
Price/Earning Ratio |
8.58 |
|
EPS of Hop-In Food Store(1976) |
2.26 |
|
Price |
$19.40 |
So, under this model, the offering price is $19.40.
Price
Earning Multiplier Method (Approach:2)
|
Peer Group Average of Price/Earning Ratio
(Trend) |
||||||
|
Price/Earning |
1972 |
1973 |
1974 |
1975 |
1976 (10/29/76) |
Average |
|
Southland |
25 |
15.5 |
9.5 |
10.5 |
14.5 |
15 |
|
Munford |
14 |
7 |
4.5 |
4 |
6 |
7.1 |
|
Dillon |
21.5 |
15 |
12 |
12.5 |
13 |
14.8 |
|
Sunshine Junior |
24.5 |
11.5 |
5 |
7.5 |
6 |
10.9 |
|
National
Convenience Store |
22.5 |
10 |
5 |
6.5 |
7 |
10.2 |
|
Circle K |
35 |
22.5 |
7.5 |
6.5 |
5 |
15.3 |
|
Industry Average |
12.21667 |
|||||
|
Average EPS of Hope-In Food Stores by
considering trend data |
||||||
|
Year |
1972 |
1973 |
19724 |
1975 |
1976 (10/29/76) |
Average |
|
EPS of Hop-in
food |
0.55 |
1.11 |
1.61 |
1.73 |
3.34 |
1.668 |
Offer price is:
|
Earning
Multiplier Method |
|
|
Price/Earning Ratio |
12.21667 |
|
EPS of Hop-In Food Store |
1.668 |
|
Price |
$20.38 |
Price
to Book Value Ratio Method (Approach: 2)
|
Price to Book Value Ratio (Industry) |
|||
|
Year(1976) |
Market value per share |
Book value per share |
Market value/Book value per share
(including Hope-in) |
|
Southland |
$26.13 |
$14.21 |
$1.84 |
|
Munford |
$9.38 |
$13.00 |
$0.72 |
|
Dillon |
$31.63 |
$9.30 |
$3.40 |
|
Sunshine Junior |
$6.00 |
$7.03 |
$0.85 |
|
National Convenience Store |
$9.75 |
$10.87 |
$0.90 |
|
Circle K |
$7.50 |
$7.95 |
$0.94 |
|
Hope-in food |
$0.00 |
$10.06 |
$0.00 |
|
Average |
$12.91 |
$10.35 |
$1.24 |
|
Price
to Book Value Ratio Approach |
|
|
Hope-In- Food Book Value |
$10.06 |
|
Average market value/book value of industry |
$1.24 |
|
Price |
$12.44 |
So the required offering price under this model is $12.44.
Dividend
Discount Model:
|
Industry
Dividend & EPS |
||
|
Company |
Divided
Rate |
Average
EPS |
|
Southland |
0.37 |
2.10 |
|
Munford |
0.35 |
1.30 |
|
Dillon |
0.96 |
2.50 |
|
Sunshine Junior |
0.20 |
0.82 |
|
National Convenience Store |
0.00 |
1.37 |
|
Circle K |
0.51 |
1.43 |
|
Average |
0.40 |
1.59 |
|
Average
Retention rate of
the Industry: b=(1-Div/EPS)*100 |
|
|
Industry Dividend |
0.40 |
|
Industry EPS |
1.59 |
|
b |
74.89% |
|
ROE of Hope-In food (1976): ROE=Net income/Equity |
|
|
Net income |
280562.00 |
|
Equity |
1062192.00 |
|
ROE |
26.41% |
|
Growth Rate of Hope-In food (G): G=b*ROE |
|
|
|
|
|
G |
19.78% |
|
Cost of Equity of Hope-in food (Ke): |
|
|
|
|
|
Ke |
22.45% |
|
Constant Growth Model (Gordon Model):
P=EPS*(1-b)/(K-G) |
|
|
|
|
|
Price |
$14.86 |
So under this model, the offer price is $14.86.
|
Recent
Common Equity Issue |
||
|
Name
of Company |
Offer
Price |
Bid
Price |
|
Madison Gas
& Electric Co. |
$16.38 |
$16.13 |
|
Tetra Tec, Inc. |
$8.00 |
$8.25 |
|
Middle South
Utilities Inc |
$16.75 |
$16.75 |
|
Wacoal Corp |
$22.63 |
$22.38 |
|
Loua Public
Service Co. |
$21.50 |
$21.38 |
|
Surgicot Inc. |
$7.13 |
$6.75 |
|
Free Mont
General Corp. |
$14.50 |
$14.13 |
|
Intermountain
Gas Co. |
$16.75 |
$17.50 |
|
Omega Optical
Co. |
$10.00 |
8.7500 |
|
Grow Chemical
Corp. |
$10.25 |
$10.38 |
|
Brougham
Industries Inc. |
$7.50 |
$7.75 |
|
Makita Electric
Works Ltd. |
$33.88 |
$33.63 |
|
Contineous Curve
Inc. |
$10.00 |
$10.75 |
|
Kennametal Inc. |
$25.25 |
$24.63 |
|
NY State
Electric & Gas Corp. |
$29.50 |
$29.13 |
|
St. Jude Medical
Inc. |
$3.50 |
$6.50 |
|
Average Market offerings |
$15.84 |
$15.92 |
Here Average
Market Offer Price is $15.84 and Bid Price $15.92.
|
Approaches |
Hope-In
Food Share Price |
|
Price Earning
Multiplier Approach |
$20.38 |
|
Price to Book
Value Ratio Approach |
$12.44 |
|
Dividend
Discount Model Under Constant
Growth Model |
$14.86 |
|
Average market
price Offer Price Bid Price |
$15.84 $15.92 |
|
Price Range |
$12.44
to $20.38 |
|
Our Recommendation |
$15.50 |
Recommendation
So, considering all the techniques of stock valuation the offer price of Hope-In Food Store, Incorporated should be $15.40.
Justification
|
Particular |
Before Position |
After Restructuring |
|
WACC |
18.19% |
18.39% |
|
Value of the firm |
$2,878,438 |
$2,931,569 |
Comments to IPO
Minimum acceptable share price by investment banker was $10.6 per share and Hop In Food determined that the share price would be $150.50.
So, Investment bank Scott and String fellow will be benefited by underwriting Hope-In Food shares. On the other side, expecting market price growth is 10% to 20%.
So, this is high time for share issue in the market and investment bank will be gainer by underwriting the company’s share because the company’s growth position and financing position is better.
Thank you